Ripple XRP (COIN: $XRP) traded near $2.02 at the time of writing, showing limited movement despite rising capital inflows. The token posted a 0.46% decline over 24 hours, a 0.34% drop over the week, and a 19.37% decline over the past month. XRP has now remained in consolidation around the $2.00 level for more than seven days, keeping traders focused on the widening gap between price action and underlying data.
On December 12, U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded a net inflow of $20.17 million, extending the inflow streak to 19 consecutive days. Data from SoSoValue, reported by Odaily, confirmed sustained institutional participation. The Franklin XRP ETF, trading under ticker XRPZ, led daily inflows with $8.7 million, pushing its cumulative net inflow to $185 million. The Bitwise XRP ETF followed with $7.85 million in daily inflows and a historical total of $213 million.
Total net assets across XRP spot ETFs now stand at $1.18 billion, with an XRP net asset ratio of 0.98%. Since launch, cumulative inflows across all products have reached $975 million. The introduction of the 21Shares spot XRP ETF under ticker TOXR expanded regulated access without triggering immediate repricing in the spot market.
Despite these figures, XRP price action remained compressed. Liquidity stayed concentrated within a narrow range, signaling absorption rather than distribution. Price traded near the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $2.02, while volatility tightened into an ascending triangle structure. Market participants continued to monitor whether sustained inflows could force a delayed price response.
On-Chain Activity and Derivatives Show Cooling Participation
XRP Ledger activity showed a clear slowdown during November. CryptoQuant data revealed that active addresses averaged 20,000 as of Tuesday. This figure dropped from nearly 25,000 on November 21 and about 32,000 on November 11. The decline pointed to weaker user engagement and reduced transactional demand.
Retail participation also remained muted. Futures open interest stabilized near $3.72 billion, far below earlier highs. On October 10, open interest reached $8.36 billion during a broader market crash that liquidated $19 billion in assets in one day. The metric remains well under its July peak of $10.94 billion, indicating cautious positioning and lower leverage across the market.
Open interest reflects the notional value of outstanding futures contracts. The sustained decline suggests traders remain hesitant to commit to directional exposure. This environment continues to suppress short-term momentum even as ETF demand stays firm.
Technical Analysis: Compression Holds XRP Near Critical Support
XRP continues to trade sideways above the $2.00 psychological support. The price structure reflects consolidation rather than trend failure. The Relative Strength Index hovers near 42, signaling hesitation instead of exhaustion. Momentum indicators remain muted but stable.
The MACD continues compressing, moving closer to a potential bullish crossover without confirming one. Price action suggests market participants test patience rather than conviction. XRP also defended the base of a broad rising channel, which has guided price higher over longer timeframes.
Liquidity remains locked inside the current range. Analysts note that sustained inflows without follow-through often precede forced price reactions. For now, XRP remains coiled within the structure.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels Shape the Short-Term Outlook
The $2.00 to $2.06 zone stands as the most important decision area. Acceptance above this range could allow rotation toward $2.15. Failure to defend the channel base may invalidate recovery attempts.
Market analyst Ali Martinez highlighted $2.00 as the most critical support. His chart placed XRP near $2.0134 after an 8.6% decline, sitting directly on this long-tested floor. Repeated retests weakened buyer responses and increased their importance.
Martinez also identified $1.20 as the next major support if $2 fails. Historical reactions show brief rebounds near this level before renewed pressure. A sustained break below $2 could accelerate downside toward that zone.
Fundamentals Expand as Price Lags
Ripple continued expanding its infrastructure footprint. The company confirmed completion of the Rail acquisition, strengthening its stablecoin and payments stack. Earlier expansions across custody, treasury intelligence, and prime brokerage further shaped Ripple into an integrated digital asset infrastructure provider.
Ripple also announced the first European bank adoption of Ripple Payments through AMINA Bank. The partnership enables real-time cross-border settlement within regulated markets. These developments increased XRP’s utility footprint while price remained compressed.
Regulatory progress also supported the backdrop. Ripple received conditional OCC approval for its National Trust Bank, marking a significant milestone for compliance and blockchain integration. The approval strengthened the foundation for stablecoin and payment services.
Is Now the Time to Buy?
XRP continues trading near $2.02, holding a key support zone while ETF inflows remain steady. The market shows consolidation rather than capitulation. Capital flows, infrastructure growth, and regulatory progress continue building beneath the surface.
Price behavior now centers on whether XRP can maintain the $2.00 level. A sustained hold may stabilize sentiment. A break below could expose the $1.20 support. Traders remain focused on timing as compression persists and positioning quietly develops.
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